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Barry Kivni is my pen name. I am a financial and business consultant with engineering and financial degrees.
Some of the accurate deep thinking predictions I have made using the same principles covered in this book include:
Published in 1998 - Commodities, especially gold and silver, will have a major bull market run from 1998-2007
Published in 2007 - Sell recommendation for gold and silver in 2008 at the top of that bull market run.
Published in 2005 – Real estate housing market crash in 2007. Sold all real estate at the exact month of the top of the market in my area in 2007.
Written in 2011, Published in early 2012 – 1. Bitcoin will outperform all other financial assets for the next decade.
2. Bitcoin will reach at least $83,000 when Bitcoin was about $200, this seemed like an insane prediction. Though Bitcoin has not yet reached $83,000, it has come close and almost certainly will soon.
Published in 2016 – Predicted Ukraine would be going to war around 2018
Correctly chose 10 of the top performing cryptocurrencies and overall financial investments from among 5000+ potentials.
Published in Jan 2017 – Cryptocurrency market crash. Correctly predicted the one crypto project that would rise even through the crash. Predicted Stock market drop and the following major rise.
Purchased rural farm land in 2006 predicting the eventual urban to rural and commodity cycle shift that has accelerated.
Predicted mass migration back out of urban centers to rural or ex-urban starting around 2019 that has accelerated in 2020 onward.
Published in 2019 – Bitcoin market would bottom at $3000-$3500 and should be bought aggressively at that price.
These are a few notably prescient predictions among many I have made over the years to clients, students, and others with similar relative accuracy.
Fortunately, I do not have a degree in predicting. Any formal indoctrination degree would likely muddy my predicting waters. My degree and my education lie in the realm of engineering and economics.
I do not espouse theories about predicting. Nor do I take surveys of what the general population thinks is going to happen.
My skills regarding predicting and deciding using TSD principles come from engaging in battle in this arena for more than 40 years. I also learned from the great deep thinkers that typically will be found in the financial arena, but also in business, and art and music, and even politics.
I use my skills and my interest in analyzing current situations to predict future developments both for myself and for clients. I actively trade based on my predictions, and I run a boutique advisory service for a limited number of clients. Neither fame nor really even fortune is my main goal for constantly honing and improving predictions or the TSD methods I use. As naive as this seems to be, my main goal is to have the clearest view and perspective on reality.
Just as we might get excited if we score a goal in soccer or win a race, I get a childlike thrill when my prediction for a certain event or trade comes true. The thrill of accurately foreseeing the future is what I live for, and what I also hope to pass on as we delve into the thinking approach I will describe throughout this book.
Regarding surveys, popularity, and even some betting boards, I find them to be almost a contrary indicator. My experience is that when the majority of people assess current events going in one direction or are all joining a certain movement, the safer bet is to look at a sharp reversal coming soon.
As alluded to earlier, while my deep thinking and long term decision techniques have been accurate, I have screwed up plenty with shallow, short term decisions more times than I care to remember. The quick and shallow thinking challenges were always more likely to involve emotional choices rather than longer term, rational choices for me. This weakness, and it certainly is a weakness, led me down paths I should not have gone.
We will cover both positive and negative examples of shallow and deep thinking challenges. The positive examples show how applying the deep and shallow thinking principles lead to success in relationships, finances, careers, or progress towards a goal. The negative examples show how not applying the deep and shallow thinking principles often resulted in either me or someone I know getting hurt financially, emotionally, or physically, and sometimes all three.
Enough chest thumping for the moment let's get on to the core of “Thinking Shallow and Deep.”
Quick note:
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Be sure and visit ThinkingShallowandDeep.com for to sign-up for updates, videos, a shockingly powerful decision making app that brings a computer's brain to help solve our life's challenges, and even limited access to my advisory service focused on the crypto, commodities, and financial trading.
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